Kenedy County, TX housing market data
Median home values, rents, income, property tax, and affordability for Kenedy County, Texas — built from Census ACS, FHFA HPI, and HUD Fair Market Rent, cross-checked and disclosed by data vintage.
Kenedy County, TX leans favorable for buying: a price-to-rent ratio of 3.1 favors owning at the median, and modeled investor cash flow is positive (533/mo at standard assumptions).
- The median home value in Kenedy County, TX was $40,659 as of April 2026, up 0.5% year over year (FHFA HPI applied to the Census ACS county median).
- The typical market rent in Kenedy County, TX was $1,102/mo as of November 2026, a current modeled estimate (HUD Fair Market Rent, FY2027, bridged from Census ACS gross rent).
- Kenedy County, TX has a price-to-rent ratio of 3.1 — a reading that favors owning (owner-occupant math — not automatically strong investor cash flow). (Computed by Areal from the figures above.)
$40,659
$1,102/mo
3.1x
$38,882
1,637/100k/yr
HUD Fair Market Rent (2-BR)
$1,102/mo
HUD FY2027 · Kenedy County
Cash flow at county medians
20% down, 6.75% interest, 30-year loan, 1 unit · estimates only · Insurance: state-level estimate (TX avg 0.85%/yr)
Coastal/wind-exposed properties can run well above the state average.
Monthly cash flow
$533
Cash-on-cash return
78.6%
Cap rate
21.9%
Annual cash flow
$6,390
Resilience score — does the deal survive the shocks?
100/100Survives 5 of 5 scenarios · worst-case cash flow $450/mo
Standard assumption
Standard assumption
Standard assumption
Fixed-rate comparison — the deal if you'd borrowed at a higher rate today; your actual fixed payment never resets
History-derived proxy: worst decline found in any window of up to 12 months in the state FHFA home-value series, 2010-04-01 → 2011-01-01, applied to rent
Each scenario re-runs the same verified cash-flow engine with one shock applied, then re-checks the cash-flow identity before display. Standard shocks are fixed assumptions; the history-derived scenario is this market's own worst observed 12-month decline. Estimates only — not a guarantee of performance.
Report integrity
Every headline figure is independently re-derived from its raw inputs (cash-flow identity, cash-on-cash, cap rate, price-to-rent, and closed-form buy-vs-rent compounding) — the same checks the interactive analyzer runs.
Report integrity — internal re-derivation
16/16 verifiedHow the integrity pass works
Every headline figure is re-derived from the raw inputs (NOI − P&I = cash flow, CoC, cap rate) and the data feed's age is checked before the report is shown. This validates our own arithmetic — it is not independent source validation; the cross-dataset check is the data-confidence card above. An entry marked “by design” (e.g. price-to-rent) is the expected split between market rent and your rent estimate — two deliberately separate reads, not an arithmetic error.
Data quality
Limited — single-source estimates, no cross-check available
Data quality score
52/100
- − No cross-check available — single-source figures
- + Current home value observation (Apr 2026) — current for quarterly cadence
- + Current rent observation (Nov 2026) — current for monthly cadence
A data-quality score, not statistical confidence — it measures how well independent public sources agree, how consistent the geography is, and how fresh the data is. Survey margins of error (e.g. ACS MOEs) are not part of it. Every point is earned or lost by a reason listed above, so the score itself is auditable.
How we check this — sources, cross-checks and thresholds
Cross-checks compare two separately produced figures — not our own math re-run — and each check names its own basis. Rent: a current ZIP market-rent-index figure is checked against HUD Small Area FMR where one exists, or against Census ACS gross rent inflated to current dollars with the same ACS rent trend the charts use — a raw ~2021 ACS figure is never compared to a current one. Home value: the check pairs our current FHFA-updated estimate against the raw ACS vintage, so its spread mostly reflects price movement since the ACS measurement period (~2021). These sources measure different things (administrative benchmarks vs. rents reported by existing tenants), so disagreement is information, not error. The report shows the spread rather than averaging it away.
FHFA HPI through 2026-04-01 · ACS 2024 5-year estimates · HUD FY2027 · pulled 2026-11-13T23:42Z
Every headline metric is checked against a second figure, and each check names its own basis. The rent and property-price checks pair genuinely independent datasets (HUD FMR vs Census ACS gross rent; your price vs the county estimate). The home-value check compares our current estimate (ACS county median updated by the FHFA state index) against the raw ACS 2023 median — its spread reflects price movement since the ACS measurement period (~2021), not disagreement between unrelated sources. 'Verified' means the two figures agree within 15%; 'Cross-checked' means they diverge more than 15%; 'Divergent' flags a >2x difference. A spread beyond 35% is too wide to defend a single point — the headline shows the source range instead, flagged 'sources disagree'.
Kenedy County housing market — common questions
Is Kenedy County, TX a good rental market?
For owning at the median, yes — Kenedy County's price-to-rent ratio of 3.1 is in the favorable range, and modeled investor cash flow is positive (about $533/mo at 20% down).
What is the median home value in Kenedy County?
The typical home value in Kenedy County is about $40,659 (county-level, Census ACS & FHFA state HPI), up 0.5% year-over-year, and up 25.1% over five years.
What is the median rent in Kenedy County?
The typical rent in Kenedy County is about $1,102/mo (county-level, HUD 2-bedroom benchmark bridged from Census ACS gross rent), a current modeled estimate.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Kenedy County?
Over a 7-year horizon, buying is cheaper in Kenedy County — roughly $82,174 ahead of renting, with about $26,108 in equity built.
Is Kenedy County affordable for homebuyers?
Kenedy County's median home value is 1.0x the local median household income — Affordable (≤3x income — historical rule of thumb).
Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau — ACS ACS 2024 5-year estimates
- FHFA House Price Index
- HUD Fair Market Rent
- FBI Crime Data Explorer
Data vintages: ACS 2024 5-year estimates · HUD FY2027 · FHFA HPI through 2026-04-01. For research only — verify before investing.
Areal provides area-level data for research purposes only — not an appraisal, not financial advice. Verify independently before acting.
Data from published market indexes, FHFA HPI, Census ACS, HUD Fair Market Rent, and FBI CDE — each card discloses its own vintage.