{"area":{"county":"Kiowa County","state":"KS","stateName":"Kansas","slug":"kiowa-ks","metro":null},"homeValue":{"series":[{"date":"2021-04-01","value":137470},{"date":"2021-07-01","value":141489},{"date":"2021-10-01","value":144922},{"date":"2022-01-01","value":150451},{"date":"2022-04-01","value":154765},{"date":"2022-07-01","value":155300},{"date":"2022-10-01","value":157001},{"date":"2023-01-01","value":157854},{"date":"2023-04-01","value":162358},{"date":"2023-07-01","value":166735},{"date":"2023-10-01","value":169288},{"date":"2024-01-01","value":172872},{"date":"2024-04-01","value":173751},{"date":"2024-07-01","value":176001},{"date":"2024-10-01","value":178759},{"date":"2025-01-01","value":181730},{"date":"2025-04-01","value":182401},{"date":"2025-07-01","value":184075},{"date":"2025-10-01","value":185989},{"date":"2026-01-01","value":187218},{"date":"2026-04-01","value":188484}],"latest":188484,"yoy":3.33495978640468,"fiveYr":37.10918745908198,"sinceStart":315.54742272586975,"modeled":true},"rent":{"series":[{"date":"2026-11-01","value":961}],"latest":961,"yoy":null,"fiveYr":null,"sinceStart":null,"modeled":true},"census":{"medianIncome":75539,"population":2422,"povertyRate":5.850340136054422,"medianHomeValue":155300,"medianGrossRent":762,"medianPropertyTax":1720},"hud":{"county":"Kiowa County","year":"2027","perUnit":961,"bedrooms":2,"estimated":false,"baseBedrooms":2},"crime":{"scope":"state","state":"Kansas","period":"10-2024 to 09-2026","window":{"from":"10-2024","to":"09-2026","fellBack":false},"violentCrime":{"total":22775,"ratePer100k":382.4876898583242},"propertyCrime":{"total":92828,"ratePer100k":1558.971120709924},"note":"State-level totals from the FBI CDE summarized offense endpoint."},"crimeVintage":{"from":"10-2024","to":"09-2026","fellBack":false},"priceToRentRatio":16.3,"ratioVerdict":"Borderline — at 16.3× the market leans renting (modeled investor cash flow is negative, so this is owner-occupant math — it is not a claim of strong rental yield)","priceCagr":6.516543409490794,"rentCagr":3,"cashFlow":{"price":188484,"monthlyRent":961,"grossRent":961,"downPct":20,"ratePct":6.75,"units":1,"state":"KS","down":37696.8,"loan":150787.2,"mortgagePI":978.0029090685085,"monthlyTax":174.03356,"taxRatePct":1.108,"taxRateSource":"Census ACS county effective rate 1.11% ($1,720 tax ÷ $155,300 ACS median), applied to current value","monthlyInsurance":122.51460000000002,"insuranceRatePct":0.78,"insuranceBasis":"Insurance: state-level estimate (KS avg 0.78%/yr)","insuranceHighRisk":true,"vacancyPct":5,"vacancyLoss":48.050000000000004,"egi":912.95,"mgmtPct":10,"monthlyMgmt":96.10000000000001,"maintenancePct":5,"monthlyMaint":48.050000000000004,"capexPct":5,"monthlyCapex":48.050000000000004,"hoaMonthly":0,"monthlyHoa":0,"operatingExpenses":488.74816000000004,"noi":424.20184,"totalExpenses":1466.7510690685085,"cashFlow":-553.8010690685085,"annualCf":-6645.612828822102,"cocReturn":-17.629116606242707,"capRate":2.7007184058063287},"resilience":{"scenarios":[{"id":"rentDown","label":"Rent drops 10%","kind":"standard","detail":"Standard assumption","cashFlow":-625.8760690685085,"delta":-72,"survives":false},{"id":"vacancy","label":"Vacancy stretches to 8%","kind":"standard","detail":"Standard assumption","cashFlow":-582.6310690685086,"delta":-29,"survives":false},{"id":"insurance","label":"Insurance costs rise 25%","kind":"standard","detail":"Standard assumption","cashFlow":-584.4297190685086,"delta":-31,"survives":false},{"id":"rateReset","label":"If financed at 8.25% instead","kind":"standard","detail":"Fixed-rate comparison — the deal if you'd borrowed at a higher rate today; your actual fixed payment never resets","cashFlow":-708.612036783476,"delta":-155,"survives":false},{"id":"historyHome","label":"Worst market shock in available history (since 1991-01-01) (home values −5.1% over 12 months)","kind":"history","detail":"History-derived proxy: worst decline found in any window of up to 12 months in the state FHFA home-value series, 2010-04-01 → 2011-04-01, applied to rent","cashFlow":-590.3643613611314,"delta":-37,"survives":false}],"survived":0,"total":5,"score":0,"worstCashFlow":-708.612036783476,"baselineCashFlow":-553.8010690685085,"framing":"underwater","confidenceLabel":"crosscheck","omitted":[],"note":"Each scenario re-runs the same verified cash-flow engine with one shock applied, then re-checks the cash-flow identity before display. Standard shocks are fixed assumptions; the history-derived scenario is this market's own worst observed 12-month decline. Estimates only — not a guarantee of performance."},"rentVsBuy":{"years":7,"priceCagr":6.516543409490794,"rentCagr":3,"totalRentPaid":88363.51386932004,"totalCashOutlay":170316.2578854975,"insuranceBasis":"Insurance: state-level estimate (KS avg 0.78%/yr)","homeValueAfter":293220.2381157681,"equityBuilt":156324.3491595905,"netCostOfBuying":51688.70872590701,"buyingCheaper":true,"savings":36674.80514341303},"priceToIncome":{"ratio":2.4951879161757504,"price":188484,"medianIncome":75539,"label":"Affordable (≤3x income — historical rule of thumb)"},"countyTaxRatePct":1.108,"countyTaxSource":"Census ACS county effective rate 1.11% ($1,720 tax ÷ $155,300 ACS median), applied to current value","dataCheck":{"status":"crosscheck","checks":[{"metric":"home value (vintage update)","primary":188484,"secondary":155300,"primarySource":"current estimate (ACS county median × FHFA state HPI growth)","secondarySource":"raw ACS 2023 county median (as measured ~2021)","ratio":1.21,"grade":"crosscheck","consistent":false,"hidePoint":false},{"metric":"HUD fair market rent","primary":961,"secondary":762,"primarySource":"HUD FMR (county)","secondarySource":"Census ACS (county gross rent)","ratio":1.26,"grade":"crosscheck","consistent":false,"hidePoint":false}],"confidence":{"homeValue":{"label":"crosscheck","ratio":1.21,"sources":["current estimate (ACS county median × FHFA state HPI growth)","raw ACS 2023 county median (as measured ~2021)"],"hidePoint":false,"range":{"low":155300,"high":188484}},"rent":{"label":"crosscheck","ratio":1.26,"sources":["HUD FMR (county)","Census ACS (county gross rent)"],"hidePoint":false,"range":{"low":762,"high":961}},"income":{"label":"estimate","sources":["Census ACS"]},"crime":{"label":"estimate","sources":["FBI CDE"]}},"note":"Every headline metric is checked against a second figure, and each check names its own basis. The rent and property-price checks pair genuinely independent datasets (HUD FMR vs Census ACS gross rent; your price vs the county estimate). The home-value check compares our current estimate (ACS county median updated by the FHFA state index) against the raw ACS 2023 median — its spread reflects price movement since the ACS measurement period (~2021), not disagreement between unrelated sources. 'Verified' means the two figures agree within 15%; 'Cross-checked' means they diverge more than 15%; 'Divergent' flags a >2x difference. A spread beyond 35% is too wide to defend a single point — the headline shows the source range instead, flagged 'sources disagree'."},"integrity":{"status":"pass","checks":[{"name":"home value freshness","status":"pass","detail":"latest 2026-04-01 (228d old — current for quarterly cadence)"},{"name":"home value card↔chart","status":"pass","detail":"card matches chart"},{"name":"home value growth window","status":"pass","detail":"growth matches the 5.0yr available window"},{"name":"rent freshness","status":"pass","detail":"latest 2026-11-01 (14d old — current for monthly cadence)"},{"name":"rent card↔chart","status":"pass","detail":"card matches chart"},{"name":"cash flow identity","status":"pass","detail":"NOI − P&I = cash flow"},{"name":"cash-on-cash","status":"pass","detail":"annual CF ÷ down matches"},{"name":"cap rate","status":"pass","detail":"NOI×12 ÷ price matches"},{"name":"price-to-rent","status":"pass","detail":"price ÷ (rent×12) matches"},{"name":"income plausibility","status":"pass","detail":"within expected range"},{"name":"price-to-income","status":"pass","detail":"price ÷ income matches"},{"name":"buy-vs-rent: home value at term","status":"pass","detail":"compounds at 6.5%/yr"},{"name":"buy-vs-rent: total rent paid","status":"pass","detail":"geometric series matches"},{"name":"buy-vs-rent: equity built","status":"pass","detail":"home value − loan balance matches"},{"name":"buy-vs-rent: net cost","status":"pass","detail":"outlay − equity gain matches"},{"name":"buy-vs-rent: savings & verdict","status":"pass","detail":"savings = rent − net cost, verdict matches"}],"summary":"16/16 verified","freshness":{"homeValue":{"date":"2026-04-01","ageDays":228,"cadence":"quarterly","current":true},"rent":{"date":"2026-11-01","ageDays":14,"cadence":"monthly","current":true}}},"confidence":{"homeValue":{"label":"crosscheck","ratio":1.21,"sources":["current estimate (ACS county median × FHFA state HPI growth)","raw ACS 2023 county median (as measured ~2021)"],"hidePoint":false,"range":{"low":155300,"high":188484}},"rent":{"label":"crosscheck","ratio":1.26,"sources":["HUD FMR (county)","Census ACS (county gross rent)"],"hidePoint":false,"range":{"low":762,"high":961}},"income":{"label":"estimate","sources":["Census ACS"]},"crime":{"label":"estimate","sources":["FBI CDE"]}},"verdict":"Kiowa County, KS is a moderate market — a 16.3x price-to-rent ratio is borderline, leaning renting; individual deals decide the outcome.","faqs":[{"q":"Is Kiowa County, KS a good rental market?","a":"Mixed. Kiowa County's 16.3x price-to-rent ratio is moderate; rentals can cash flow, but only on well-priced properties."},{"q":"What is the median home value in Kiowa County?","a":"The typical home value in Kiowa County is about $188,484 (county-level, Census ACS & FHFA state HPI), up 3.3% year-over-year, and up 37.1% over five years."},{"q":"What is the median rent in Kiowa County?","a":"The typical rent in Kiowa County is about $961/mo (county-level, HUD 2-bedroom benchmark bridged from Census ACS gross rent), a current modeled estimate."},{"q":"Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Kiowa County?","a":"Over a 7-year horizon, buying is cheaper in Kiowa County — roughly $36,675 ahead of renting, with about $156,324 in equity built."},{"q":"Is Kiowa County affordable for homebuyers?","a":"Kiowa County's median home value is 2.5x the local median household income — Affordable (≤3x income — historical rule of thumb)."},{"q":"What is the property tax rate in Kiowa County?","a":"Kiowa County's effective property tax rate is about 1.11% of home value (Census ACS county effective rate 1.11% ($1,720 tax ÷ $155,300 ACS median), applied to current value), which on a $188,484 median home is roughly $174/mo."}],"takeaways":["The median home value in Kiowa County, KS was $188,484 as of April 2026, up 3.3% year over year (FHFA HPI applied to the Census ACS county median).","The typical market rent in Kiowa County, KS was $961/mo as of November 2026, a current modeled estimate (HUD Fair Market Rent, FY2027, bridged from Census ACS gross rent).","Kiowa County, KS has a price-to-rent ratio of 16.3 — a moderate reading where individual deals decide the outcome. (Computed by Areal from the figures above.)"],"citationSources":[{"name":"U.S. Census Bureau — ACS ACS 2024 5-year estimates","url":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/"},{"name":"FHFA House Price Index","url":"https://www.fhfa.gov/data/hpi"},{"name":"HUD Fair Market Rent","url":"https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr.html"},{"name":"FBI Crime Data Explorer","url":"https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/"}],"jsonApi":{"function":"getCountyReport","query":"slug=kiowa-ks","url":"https://areal.studio/functions/getCountyReport?slug=kiowa-ks"},"assumptions":{"downPct":20,"ratePct":6.75,"years":7},"dataVintage":{"pulledAt":"2026-11-15T11:17:22.972Z","homeValueBasis":"FHFA state HPI (quarterly) × ACS county anchor","rentBasis":"HUD county FMR — flat current estimate (modeled, no public trend)","zhviThrough":null,"zoriThrough":null,"fhfaHpiThrough":"2026-04-01","hpiLevel":"state","hpiMetro":null,"acsVintage":"ACS 2024 5-year estimates","acsVintageMisses":[],"hudFy":"2027","safmrFy":null},"zipAnchors":{"homeValueTier":"county-fhfa-acs","rentTier":"county-acs-hud","zhvi":null,"zori":null,"safmr":null,"countyHomeEstimate":188484,"countyFmr":961,"countyRatio":null,"hpiLevel":"state","hpiMetro":null},"links":{"stateDir":"KS","stateName":"Kansas","cityPages":[],"zips":[]},"sources":["Census ACS 5-year","FHFA HPI","HUD Fair Market Rent","FBI CDE (state-level context)"]}